WN 1625 · MCI → TPA

took off 11:10 AM CT · landed 2:20 PM ET (scheduled 11:01 AM CT → 2:49 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TPA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ Other factors

↑ TPA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1625 · MCI → TPA

Odds over time

How late did it get to TPA?