WN 1745 · MSY → DAL

took off 10:59 AM CT · landed 12:01 PM CT (scheduled 9:51 AM CT → 11:34 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DAL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MSY that day

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↓ 9am departures from MSY are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip1.90 in

DAL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1745 · MSY → DAL

Odds over time

How late did it get to DAL?