WN 1764 · MCO → TUL

took off 5:13 PM ET · landed 6:29 PM CT (scheduled 3:30 PM ET → 5:35 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TUL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

TUL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1764 · MCO → TUL

Odds over time

How late did it get to TUL?