Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1790
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 1790 · ECP → STL
departs 2:05 PM CT · arrives 3:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ECP that day
↑
2pm departures from ECP are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
ECP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at STL
Weather at each end
ECP (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,233 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 1.00 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.