Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1806
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 1806 · HOU → AUS
departs 8:15 AM CT · arrives 9:10 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.