Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1807 LANDED 10:56 AM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

WN 1807 · DEN → TPA

took off 6:00 AM MT · landed 10:56 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ Other factors

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1807 · DEN → TPA

Odds over time