Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1810
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
WN 1810 · MSY → HOU
departs 7:10 PM CT · arrives 8:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Today 60%
Mon 10/5 33%
Fri 10/9 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
4.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 733 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 2.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MSY that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MSY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 1.90 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.