Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 184 LANDED 6:27 AM MT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 184 · MDW → PHX

took off 5:20 AM CT · landed 6:27 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from MDW are usually not late

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 184 · MDW → PHX

Odds over time