Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1875 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

WN 1875 · STL → LAX

departs 8:45 PM CT · arrives 10:45 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±4 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from STL are often late

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1875 · STL → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?