Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 189
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 189 · DAL → FAT
departs 12:00 PM CT · arrives 1:15 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
12pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
↓
Arrivals into FAT at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.43 in
FAT (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.