Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 18 LANDED 2:30 PM CT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 18 · DAL → VPS

took off 12:52 PM CT · landed 2:30 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VPS that day

↑ 12pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ VPS usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.20 in

VPS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 18 · DAL → VPS

Odds over time