Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1923 LANDED 10:05 AM CT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

WN 1923 · BWI → HOU

took off 8:18 AM ET · landed 10:05 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at HOU that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.07 in

HOU (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1923 · BWI → HOU

Odds over time