Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1923
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 1923 · HNL → LIH
departs 1:25 PM HT · arrives 2:15 PM HT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at LIH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIH?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LIH is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↑
1pm departures from HNL are often late
↓
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
LIH (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.