Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1936 LANDED 8:27 AM CT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 1936 · MSY → DAL

took off 7:24 AM CT · landed 8:27 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MSY that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip1.90 in

DAL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1936 · MSY → DAL

Odds over time