Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1959
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 1959 · MAF → DAL
departs 5:15 AM CT · arrives 6:35 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 4%
Thu 10/1 8%
Fri 10/2 7%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 3%
Tue 10/6 2%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
5%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
5%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
4.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Leave MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from MAF are usually not late
Weather at each end
MAF (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.