Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1984
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 1984 · HOU → HRL
departs 2:30 PM CT · arrives 3:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±3 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at HRL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HRL?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at HRL that day
↑
2pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↓
Arrivals into HRL at that hour are usually not late
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
HRL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.