Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 19
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 19 · DAL → HOU
departs 11:45 AM CT · arrives 1:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 78%
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.48 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.50 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.