Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2014
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
WN 2014 · HOU → LGA
departs 10:20 AM CT · arrives 2:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Today 34%
Mon 10/5 28%
Thu 10/8 16%
Fri 10/9 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.