Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2037
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 2037 · HOU → MCO
departs 7:45 PM CT · arrives 11:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 55%
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,367 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.82 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.