Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2044
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
WN 2044 · HOU → MDW
departs 8:45 PM CT · arrives 11:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 20%
Fri 10/9 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±3 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
↓
HOU usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.