Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2143 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

WN 2143 · ISP → BWI

departs 12:15 PM ET · arrives 1:30 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from ISP are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ISP

↓ BWI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ISP (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2143 · ISP → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?