Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2183 LANDED 6:20 AM MT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 2183 · IND → PHX

took off 6:08 AM ET · landed 6:20 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from IND are usually not late

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2183 · IND → PHX

Odds over time