WN 2202 · ITO → HNL

took off 11:48 AM HT · landed 12:15 PM HT (scheduled 11:35 AM HT → 12:52 PM HT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HNL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at ITO that day

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↓ ITO usually runs smoothly

↓ This flight has been late 6% of the time recently

Weather at each end

ITO (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.15 in

HNL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2202 · ITO → HNL

Odds over time

How late did it get to HNL?