Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2259
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
WN 2259 · RSW → IND
departs 8:30 PM ET · arrives 11:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into IND at that hour are often late
↓
RSW usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IND (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.