Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2295 LANDED 10:35 AM ET, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 2295 · MCO → ORF

took off 9:06 AM ET · landed 10:35 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at ORF that day

↑ Other factors

↑ MCO is prone to delays

↓ ORF usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

ORF (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2295 · MCO → ORF

Odds over time