Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 22
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 22 · DAL → MAF
departs 1:35 PM CT · arrives 2:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
1pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Arrivals into MAF at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.48 in
MAF (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.