Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 22
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 22 · HOU → DAL
departs 11:50 AM CT · arrives 1:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.50 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.