Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2354
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 2354 · DEN → DAL
departs 1:25 PM MT · arrives 4:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
1pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.