WN 2399 · BNA → PHX

took off 12:52 PM CT · landed 2:05 PM MT (scheduled 12:14 PM CT → 2:12 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at PHX that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2399 · BNA → PHX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHX?