Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2406
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 2406 · STL → ECP
departs 8:30 AM CT · arrives 10:15 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at ECP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ECP?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ECP that day
↑
Other factors
↑
ECP is prone to delays
↓
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at STL
Weather at each end
STL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
ECP (destination)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 2,233 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 1.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.