Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2419 LANDED 1:19 AM PT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

WN 2419 · LAS → SJC

took off 12:22 AM PT · landed 1:19 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12am departures from LAS are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJC (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2419 · LAS → SJC

Odds over time