Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2446
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
WN 2446 · LBB → DEN
departs 6:25 AM CT · arrives 7:00 AM MT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Today 4%
Mon 10/5 4%
Fri 10/9 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
5%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
5%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Leave LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from LBB are usually not late
Weather at each end
LBB (origin)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 27 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.