Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2451
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 2451 · DAL → LBB
departs 2:30 PM CT · arrives 3:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 71%
Fri 10/2 51%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
2pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Arrivals into LBB at that hour are usually not late
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.32 in
LBB (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.