WN 247 · RNO → SAN

took off 8:22 AM PT · landed 9:32 AM PT (scheduled 7:27 AM PT → 9:19 AM PT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ Saturdays in October are usually busier than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

Weather at each end

RNO (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 247 · RNO → SAN

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAN?