Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2546
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
WN 2546 · STT → BWI
departs 2:45 PM AST · arrives 6:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave STT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at STT that day
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
STT usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
STT (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 1.31 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.