Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 255
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 255 · MCO → PIT
departs 6:30 PM ET · arrives 9:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
PIT (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 10,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.