Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2642 LANDED 8:08 AM CT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 2642 · MCI → MDW

took off 7:12 AM CT · landed 8:08 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ MDW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2642 · MCI → MDW

Odds over time