Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 275 LANDED 7:58 PM AT, ~64 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 275 · MCO → SJU

took off 5:32 PM ET · landed 7:58 PM AT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, thunderstorms forecast at SJU that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SJU usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 275 · MCO → SJU

Odds over time