Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2779
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
WN 2779 · BWI → LAX
departs 3:10 PM ET · arrives 5:35 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.10 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.