Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2810
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
WN 2810 · SEA → MDW
departs 6:15 AM PT · arrives 12:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 6%
Fri 10/9 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from SEA are usually not late
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.