WN 284 · BWI → MYR

took off 3:54 PM ET · landed 4:54 PM ET (scheduled 3:49 PM ET → 5:25 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MYR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at MYR that day

↑ Arrivals into MYR at that hour are often late

↓ MYR usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.09 in

MYR (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 284 · BWI → MYR

Odds over time

How late did it get to MYR?