Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2907
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 2907 · MDW → TPA
departs 7:45 AM CT · arrives 11:25 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 10%
Thu 10/8 16%
Fri 10/9 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
TPA is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.