Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 290
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 290 · AUS → DEN
departs 3:30 PM CT · arrives 5:00 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 22%
Wed 10/7 18%
Thu 10/8 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
3pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at AUS that day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.22 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.