Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2930 LANDED 8:16 AM CT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 2930 · PNS → STL

took off 6:55 AM CT · landed 8:16 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ PNS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.93 in

STL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2930 · PNS → STL

Odds over time