Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2935
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
WN 2935 · MCO → PHL
departs 9:20 PM ET · arrives 11:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 47%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±2 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.