Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2946
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 2946 · DAL → AUS
departs 8:10 AM CT · arrives 9:10 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at AUS that day
↓
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.84 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.