Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2955 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

WN 2955 · RDU → BWI

departs 4:17 PM ET · arrives 4:54 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from RDU are often late

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ BWI usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.08 in

BWI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2955 · RDU → BWI

Odds over time