Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3029 LANDED 1:17 AM CT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 3029 · MCO → MKE

took off 12:00 AM ET · landed 1:17 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 22h after departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into MKE at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

MKE (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling10,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3029 · MCO → MKE

Odds over time