WN 3108 · MSY → DEN

took off 5:00 PM CT · landed 6:19 PM MT (scheduled 4:51 PM CT → 6:57 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 667 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 4.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MSY that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip1.90 in

DEN (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3108 · MSY → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?