Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3116
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 3116 · DAL → BHM
departs 9:30 AM CT · arrives 11:10 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at BHM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BHM?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
WN's recent on-time record
↓
9am departures from DAL are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.36 in
BHM (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 3,033 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.